P(realized winner): winner-referenced closing VWAP over executed fills, not order-book depth
Outcome
YES
Divergence
—
|pClose − y|
Brier contribution
—
Resolution lag— (expected on upsets / thin markets)
pClose is a closing VWAP over executed fills, not order-book depth. A high resolution-lag null-rate is expected (upsets / thin markets).
Resolution criteria
ancillaryText · rendered from on-chain ancillaryData
q: title: Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?, description: This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for May 24, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1). market_id: 2076853 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5