P(realized winner): winner-referenced closing VWAP over executed fills, not order-book depth
Outcome
NO
Divergence
—
|pClose − y|
Brier contribution
—
Resolution lag— (expected on upsets / thin markets)
pClose is a closing VWAP over executed fills, not order-book depth. A high resolution-lag null-rate is expected (upsets / thin markets).
Resolution criteria
ancillaryText · rendered from on-chain ancillaryData
q: title: Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?, description: This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. market_id: 2347035 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Even, p2 to Odd, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:f43d55f3a8b7484ed4b6931f93cb6f9ef5dd369d